mttssn research · Djupanalys · 2026-W123
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Rating
Buy
Riktkurs 24m
198.0 SEK
Intrinsiskt värde
210.0 SEK
Pris vid analys
184.0 SEK
Buffett-poäng
13/20

SEB A (SEB-A.ST) — 2026-W123

Analysis date: 2026-05-31 | Country: SE | Currency: SEK

Recommendation Summary

FieldValue
RatingBuy
Intrinsic Value210.0 SEK
24m Target198.0 SEK
Price at Analysis184.0 SEK
Buffett Score13/20
ROIC13.5%
Economic Profit+12,642M SEK
Implied Upside (IV)14.1%
Research history · this company (5 notes)
2026-W123 · 2026-05-31 · SEB-A.STviewingBuy · ROIC 13% · tgt 198 SEKΔ tgt -1% · Hold→BuySEB A: Marginellt värdeskapande
2026-W122 · 2026-05-31 · SEB-C.STHold · ROIC 13% · tgt 200 SEKΔ tgt -2% · IV +2% · HOLD→Hold · MEDIUM→medium convSEB C: Marginellt värdeskapande2026-07-09 · 2026-07-09 · SEB-C.STHOLD · tgt 205 SEKΔ tgt +24% · IV +24%SEB is a best-in-class Nordic corporate/investment bank earning ROE 14.3% (RoTE 14.7%) — a2026-06-15 · 2026-06-15 · SEB-A.STHOLD · tgt 165 SEK2026-06-08 · 2026-06-08 · SEB-A.STHOLD · tgt 165 SEKfirst note

0. Company Identification

Ticker: SEB-A.ST | Name: SEB A | Country: SE | Sector: Bank/Savings Bank

1. What the Company Sells

SEB A operates in the Nordic market. ROIC 13.5% vs WACC 8% → EP +12,642M SEK.

2. Who Pays and Why They Stay

Retail and corporate customers pay interest on loans and fees for financial services.

3. Revenue Model

Net interest income (NII) is the primary revenue driver, supplemented by fees and commissions.

4. Margin and Cash Mechanics

ROIC 13.5% vs WACC 8.0% → Economic Profit +12,642M SEK.

5. Supply-side Dependencies

Funding cost, credit quality (LLP), and regulatory capital requirements (CET1).

6. Competitive Position

Moat strength: 3/5. Geographic presence, customer loyalty, and local market share.

7. Growth Engine

Volume growth in mortgage and corporate portfolios plus interest rate environment.

8. Business Model Risks

Top risks: Credit risk, interest rate risk, Basel IV regulatory requirements, neobank competition.

9. History, Management & ESG

Conservative credit culture, stable dividend policy, CSRD reporting obligations.

10. Synthesis and Recommendation

Buy — SEB A: Observation candidate, await data and price development.


mttssn research · SEB A (SEB-A.ST) · 2026-W123 · 2026-05-31