mttssn research · Djupanalys · 2026-W158
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Rating
Buy
Riktkurs 24m
140.0 SEK
Intrinsiskt värde
155.0 SEK
Pris vid analys
124.4 SEK
Buffett-poäng
15/20

BioGaia B (BIOG-B.ST) — 2026-W158

Analysis date: 2026-05-31 | Country: SE | Currency: SEK

Recommendation Summary

FieldValue
RatingBuy
Intrinsic Value155.0 SEK
24m Target140.0 SEK
Price at Analysis124.4 SEK
Buffett Score15/20
ROIC61.9%
Economic Profit+286.1M SEK
Implied Upside (IV)24.6%
Research history · this company (3 notes)
2026-W158 · 2026-05-31 · BIOG-B.STviewingBuy · ROIC 62% · tgt 140 SEKΔ tgt +17% · IV +29% · HOLD→Buy · MEDIUM→high convBioGaia B: Starkt värdeskapande ROIC 61.9% >> WACC 8%
2026-06-15 · 2026-06-15 · BIOG-B.STHOLD · tgt 120 SEK2026-06-09 · 2026-06-09 · BIOG-B.STHOLD · tgt 120 SEKfirst note

0. Company Identification

Ticker: BIOG-B.ST | Name: BioGaia B | Country: SE | Sector: Industrial/Commercial

1. What the Company Sells

BioGaia B operates in the Nordic market. ROIC 61.9% vs WACC 8% → EP +286.1M SEK.

2. Who Pays and Why They Stay

Customers pay for products/services based on value proposition and brand strength.

3. Revenue Model

Revenue generated through product/service sales. Scalability and recurring revenue characteristics vary by segment.

4. Margin and Cash Mechanics

ROIC 61.9% vs WACC 8.0% → Economic Profit +286.1M SEK.

5. Supply-side Dependencies

Raw materials, suppliers, distribution channels, and human capital.

6. Competitive Position

Moat strength: 5/5. Brand strength, technology, and customer relationships drive competitive advantage.

7. Growth Engine

Market penetration, geographic expansion, and product development.

8. Business Model Risks

Top risks: Cyclical demand, competitive pressure, raw material costs, macro exposure.

9. History, Management & ESG

Established Nordic industrial company with stable management.

10. Synthesis and Recommendation

Buy — BioGaia B: Strong value creation, ROIC 61.9% >> WACC 8%, attractive at current price.


mttssn research · BioGaia B (BIOG-B.ST) · 2026-W158 · 2026-05-31