mttssn research · Djupanalys · 2026-W116
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Rating
Buy
Riktkurs 24m
145.0 SEK
Intrinsiskt värde
155.0 SEK
Pris vid analys
135.7 SEK
Buffett-poäng
14/20

Handelsbanken A (SHB-A.ST) — 2026-W116

Analysis date: 2026-05-31 | Country: SE | Currency: SEK

Recommendation Summary

FieldValue
RatingBuy
Intrinsic Value155.0 SEK
24m Target145.0 SEK
Price at Analysis135.7 SEK
Buffett Score14/20
ROIC11.9%
Economic Profit+7,778.6M SEK
Implied Upside (IV)14.2%
Research history · this company (3 notes)
2026-W116 · 2026-05-31 · SHB-A.STviewingBuy · ROIC 12% · tgt 145 SEKΔ tgt +10% · IV +17% · HOLD→Buy · MEDIUM→medium convHandelsbanken A: Marginellt värdeskapande
2026-06-15 · 2026-06-15 · SHB-A.STHOLD · tgt 132 SEK2026-06-08 · 2026-06-08 · SHB-A.STHOLD · tgt 132 SEKfirst note

0. Company Identification

Ticker: SHB-A.ST | Name: Handelsbanken A | Country: SE | Sector: Bank/Savings Bank

1. What the Company Sells

Handelsbanken A operates in the Nordic market. ROIC 11.9% vs WACC 8% → EP +7,778.6M SEK.

2. Who Pays and Why They Stay

Retail and corporate customers pay interest on loans and fees for financial services.

3. Revenue Model

Net interest income (NII) is the primary revenue driver, supplemented by fees and commissions.

4. Margin and Cash Mechanics

ROIC 11.9% vs WACC 8.0% → Economic Profit +7,778.6M SEK.

5. Supply-side Dependencies

Funding cost, credit quality (LLP), and regulatory capital requirements (CET1).

6. Competitive Position

Moat strength: 2/5. Geographic presence, customer loyalty, and local market share.

7. Growth Engine

Volume growth in mortgage and corporate portfolios plus interest rate environment.

8. Business Model Risks

Top risks: Credit risk, interest rate risk, Basel IV regulatory requirements, neobank competition.

9. History, Management & ESG

Conservative credit culture, stable dividend policy, CSRD reporting obligations.

10. Synthesis and Recommendation

Buy — Handelsbanken A: Observation candidate, await data and price development.


mttssn research · Handelsbanken A (SHB-A.ST) · 2026-W116 · 2026-05-31