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Multiconsult (MULTI.OL)
Industri · Teknikkonsult (Multiconsult) · LTM Q1 2026
Analysis date: 2026-06-15
Price at analysis: NOK 148.00
Method: borsdata_v1
Conviction: MEDIUM
HOLD
Conviction: MEDIUM
A solid Norwegian engineering consultancy, but thin economic profit (+NOK 92M), negative reported free cash flow, and a price embedding ~4.9% perpetual growth leave the equity fully-to-richly valued — the reverse-DCF sits ~28% below. HOLD with a bearish lean.
Adj. ROIC
10.7%
WACC 8% → spread +2.7pp
Economic Profit
+NOK 70M
Thin on its capital base
FCF Yield
1.2%
Negative LTM — watch
Price / Target
NOK 148 → NOK 135
-9% base; HOLD
Revenue (LTM)
NOK 5.7B
LTM; engineering consultancy
EBIT Margin
6.2%
GAAP; people-based
EV / IC
2.06×
Enterprise value / invested capital
Net Debt
NOK 1.3B
Moderate
Thesis

Multiconsult is a leading Norwegian multidisciplinary engineering and design consultancy exposed to infrastructure, energy, water and the built environment — structurally supported themes. It is a people-based, capital-light business, but adjusted ROIC of 11.6% translates into only thin economic profit (+NOK 92M) on its capital base, and reported free cash flow is currently negative.

The reverse-DCF implies the NOK 152 price embeds ~4.9% perpetual growth, against thin economics and a small, domestically-concentrated franchise. The equity looks fully-to-richly valued relative to its through-cycle worth.

Valuation · reverse-DCF & scenarios

Bridging adjusted NOPAT through net debt, reverse-DCF fair value runs NOK 102–132 across growth scenarios — below the NOK 152 price (~4.9% implied growth). For a small consultancy with thin economic profit and negative current free cash flow, that is a full valuation.

Base NOK 135 (−11%, modest de-rate); bull NOK 175 (utilisation and pricing lift margins, energy/infrastructure demand stays strong); bear NOK 110 (a Norwegian construction/public-budget slowdown hits billings).

Market-implied growth
≥10.2%
model ceiling — EV implies more than constant-ROIC sustains
No-growth value / share
NOK 92
62% of price; rest = priced-in growth
ROIC − WACC
+2.7 pp
ROIC 10.7% vs WACC 8.0% — positive = value creation
CAP (priced-in)
17.8 yrs
years of excess returns the price implies (fades to WACC)

At today’s enterprise value the constant-ROIC reverse-DCF maxes out: even at its sustainable-growth ceiling (~10.2%, limited by ROIC 11% ≈ WACC 8%) it cannot reach the current EV. No-growth value is NOK 92/share (62% of price); the market prices in growth and/or a higher ROIC than booked — richly valued on this lens. Read the sensitivity grid.

Scenario24m targetImpl. gUpsideProb.Driver
BullNOK 175≥10%+18%30%Utilisation/pricing lift margins; demand strong
BaseNOK 135≥10%-9%40%Modest de-rate; thin spread, full growth
BearNOK 110+8%-26%30%Norwegian construction/public-budget slowdown
Prob-weightedNOK 140-6%100%Scenario-weighted expected value

Sensitivity — fair value / share at WACC × growth

WACC \ g0%3%5%8%10%15%
6.50%140154163179190218
7.25%112122128139146164
8.00% (base)9298103110115126
8.75%768184889197
9.50%646769717274

Green = fair value above the current price of NOK 148.00. The reverse-DCF conclusion is dominated by WACC and growth — see the whole surface, not a single fair value.

Method & data. NOPAT NOK 278, invested capital and ROIC 10.7% are observed (adjustments.json); WACC 8.0% and terminal g 2.5% are assumptions. EV→equity uses net debt NOK 1,280. The model holds ROIC constant (no fade) over the explicit horizon; the CAP figure instead fades excess returns to WACC.

⤓ Download the full model (.xlsx) — formula-driven sheets; flex the blue input cells and the model cascades in Excel.

Key drivers

1. Structural demand themes

Energy transition, water and infrastructure underpin multi-year billable demand.

2. Capital-light model

A people-based consultancy with low capital needs when utilisation is high.

3. Domestic leadership

A leading Norwegian position provides scale and brand in its core market.

4. Pricing/utilisation upside

Higher utilisation and pricing would lift margins toward peers.

5. Public-infrastructure pipeline

Norwegian public infrastructure spending supports a project pipeline.

Key risks
Conclusion

Multiconsult is a decent consultancy whose thin economics, negative current free cash flow and full implied growth leave the equity fully-to-richly valued. We rate it HOLD with a bearish lean, medium conviction; base target NOK 135 (−11%).

Improving utilisation/cash conversion or a pullback toward the reverse-DCF range (low-NOK 110s) would improve the risk/reward.

Footnote evidence & sources

Every adjustment traces to the cited note/page in the source filing — click to open it there. Source reports archived locally.

NOPAT adjustments: Not available from structured data

Company add-backs we reject: Not available without footnote extraction

Pages read — FY: — · Q: —  

Analysis history

How the mttssn view has evolved — each prior dated note is preserved.